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| from jaguarsgab.com |
I was planning on posting the entire slate of Week 14 picks
and previews, but stuff got in the way so I’m just going to go keep in minimal
today and do the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans game. Tomorrow (maybe)
I’ll get to the other 15 games, with a special look to the 49ers and Seahawks
showdown, of course.
*line from Yahoo Sports*
JACKSONVILLE (+3)
over Houston
The Jaguars got a win in Houston just a couple weeks ago,
but that’s hardly the reason for this pick. This is just a simple matter of
Houston still being overvalued based on preseason expectations. Both these
teams are garbage. I’m tempted to pick Houston, even though this game is in
Jacksonville and the Texans are three point favorites, but it’s only a
temptation.
It’s a temptation based on all the times I expected the
Texans to actually show up and play good football early on in the season. It’s
a temptation to pick against a Jaguars team I’ve routinely called talentless
and bad. They are talentless and bad, but the Texans are equally bad (if not quite
equally talentless). The difference here is that Jacksonville has points in
hand at home, and they are still playing with fight.
The Texans are a group of punchless sob-artists that feel
bad for themselves. They have maybe half-a-dozen guys on the team playing with
some actual urgency and fire. The ones I can name; Andre Johnson because he’s a
professional with pride, J.J. Watt because he’s a professional with pride, Ben
Tate because he’s looking for a big contract in the offseason, and Case Keenum
because he’s trying to prove he should have a shot to compete with Teddy
Bridgewater in training camp. And the Texans will be drafting Bridgewater, because
they will lose this game.
The Jaguars offense has been better of late, but that’s
really not saying much. The bar was set about as low as it could be set. The
Texans defense, which had been playing well through the first half despite the
lack of any semblance of help from the offense, has started to sink to the
dreary level of its offense. The Jaguars should be able to put up some points
on this defense, enough to outscore a Keenum-led Texans squad. Expect a solid
night from MJD. I just hope, for my fantasy team’s sake, that Andre Johnson
gets in the endzone at some point.
20-16, Jaguars.
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