Showing posts with label Mock Draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mock Draft. Show all posts

Thursday, May 8, 2014

An "I Couldn't Help Myself" Mock Draft

Waiting for the draft to start is pure torture, so I went ahead and redid my mock. Just because.


MOCK DRAFT RD. 1


1. Houston Texans – JADEVEON CLOWNEY, DE South Carolina

2. St. Louis Rams – GREG ROBINSON, OT Auburn

3. Jacksonville Jaguars – JOHNNY MANZIEL, QB Texas A&M

4. Cleveland Browns – SAMMY WATKINS, WR Clemson

5. Oakland Raiders – MIKE EVANS, WR Texas A&M

6. Atlanta Falcons – KHALIL MACK, OLB Buffalo

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – AARON DONALD, DT Pittsburgh

8. Minnesota Vikings – BLAKE BORTLES, QB Central Florida

9. Buffalo Bills – JAKE MATTHEWS, Texas A&M

10. Detroit Lions – ANTHONY BARR, OLB UCLA

11. Tennessee Titans – JUSTIN GILBERT, CB Oklahoma St.

12. New York Giants – ZACK MARTIN, OT Notre Dame

13. St. Louis Rams – HA HA CLINTON-DIX, S Alabama

14. Chicago Bears – CALVIN PRYOR, S Louisville

15. Pittsburgh Steelers – TAYLOR LEWAN, OT Michigan

16. Dallas Cowboys – TIMMY JERNIGAN, DT Florida St. 

17. San Francisco 49ers (via BAL) – ODELL BECKHAM JR., WR LSU

18. New York Jets – ERIC EBRON, TE North Carolina

19. Miami Dolphins – RYAN SHAZIER, OLB Ohio St.

20. Arizona Cardinals – BRADLEY ROBY, CB Ohio St.

21.Green Bay – C.J. MOSLEY, ILB Alabama

22. Philadelphia Eagles – KYLE FULLER, CB Virginia

23. Kansas City Chiefs – DARQUEZE DENNARD, CB Michigan St.

24. Cincinnati Bengals – KONY EALY, DE Missouri

25. San Diego Chargers – MARQISE LEE, WR USC

26. Cleveland Browns – TEDDY BRIDGEWATER, QB Louisville

27. St. Louis Rams – DEMARCUS LAWRENCE, OLB/DE Boise St.

28. Carolina Panthers – BRANDIN COOKS, WR Oregon St.

29. New England Patriots – LOUIS NIX III, NT Notre Dame

30. Baltimore Ravens (via SF) – JU’WUAN JAMES, OT Tennessee

31. Denver Broncos – JASON VERRETT, CB TCU

32. Seattle Seahawks – XAVIER SU'A-FILO, OG UCLA


Tuesday, May 6, 2014

Movin' On Up: Potential Draft Day Trades

Mocking the Trade

I’m not going to do this for every team, but seeing that I am a 49ers fan and that the likelihood the 49ers actually draft at pick No. 30 is fairly slim, I’m going to do some mock trades.

First, here is a link to the traditional pick value chart that has been in use for decades. It has a convenient calculator feature to, so you can whittle away precious minutes (or hours) of your life dreaming up new trade scenarios if you’d like.


That chart is a good resource, but it’s not the be-all and end-all for draft day trades. A lot of teams use different charts, especially now that the salary structure for draft picks has changed due to the new CBA. In fact, one of the teams that doesn’t use this chart is the 49ers, as TrentBaalke outlines here.

(But you’ll notice he does say that every team at least references the traditional pick value chart. It’s like the Rosetta Stone of pick value charts. Everyone recognizes it.)

I think it’s safe to say that the 49ers’ draft value chart values mid and late-round picks higher than the traditional chart. I have reached this conclusion based on the evidence:

A) Team President and Baalke-sidekick Paraag Marathe is big on new-era metrics and statistical analysis and most “advanced analysis” trade value charts place much more value on mid-round picks than the traditional one (as you can see here).

B) Baalke is notorious for stockpiling picks. He trades away talented players like Cam Johnson for 7th rounders habitually, and the last two seasons we have been among the top two teams in the number of overall draft picks heading into the draft. He clearly sees value in having picks, probably because he values lower picks more than a typical GM.

C) The Eric Reid trade-up. On the traditional draft value chart the 18th overall pick is worth 900 points, while the 31st and 74th overall picks have a combined worth of 820 points. That 80 point differential is worth a Round 4 pick based on the traditional chart, not something an NFL decision maker is likely to just give up in a trade. However, on the Harvard Chart (provided in point A) the combined value of picks No. 31 and 74 is 324.2, which is actually worth more than the 8th overall pick.

The 49ers’ draft value chart probably splits the difference between the traditional and the new-age value charts.

I'm definitely not the only person to reach this conclusion. ProFootballTalk beat me to it a few days ago...Even though I wrote this post like a week ago (as you can tell by the lack of inclusion of the Ravens as a potential trade partner, which is like the flavor of the week among beat writers and draftniks alike. No-originality havin' little bitches...).

My tantrum is over and so is my preamble, let’s get to the mock trades!


1) The Monster Trade-Up

I can think of only four prospects the 49ers would consider moving up into the top-12 for; Sammy Watkins, Mike Evans, Justin Gilbert and Anthony Barr.

Scenario A: 49ers give up Nos. 30, 56, 61 & a 2015 First Round Pick [approx. 500 pts.] for the Raiders’ No. 5 overall selection.
The 49ers select Sammy Watkins.
(traditional value chart: 49ers totals = 1,752, Raiders totals = 1,700)

Scenario B: 49ers give up No. 30, 56, 61 & a 2015 Second Round Pick [approx. 250 pts.] for the Buccaneers’ No. 7 overall selection.
The 49ers select Mike Evans
(traditional value chart: 49ers totals = 1,502, Buccaneers totals = 1,500)

Scenario C: 49ers give up No. 30, 56 & 61 for the Detroit Lions’ No. 10 overall selection.
The 49ers select Justin Gilbert.
OR
The 49ers select Anthony Barr.
(traditional value chart: 49ers totals = 1,252, Lions totals = 1,300)

I personally just don’t see this happening. Maybe if we were the clear cut leader in our division now and into the foreseeable future and we needed to get over the Super Bowl hump, but with the impending battle with the Seahawks (and Cardinals and Rams) for the NFC West now and into the next decade I don’t think we can afford to give up the impact and depth all those top-100 picks would have on the roster for a single player. I’m just not of the opinion that even a player I love like Sammy Watkins is the little boost we need to consistently beat the Seahawks.


2) The Moderate Trade-Up

There is a litany of prospects the 49ers could consider moving up 6-12 picks for. I won’t even name them all. Use your imagination. I’ll provide a couple examples for guys I would like them to trade up for.

Scenario A: The 49ers trade picks Nos. 30 & 77 for the Dolphins’ No. 19 pick.
The 49ers select Marqise Lee.
(traditional value chart: 49ers totals = 825, Dolphins totals = 875)

Scenario B: The 49ers trade Picks Nos. 30 & 94 for the Bengals’ Nos. 24 & 199 picks.
The 49ers select Kyle Fuller.
(traditional value chart: 49ers totals = 744, Bengals totals = 751.8)

These are the two most likely scenarios in my mind. With the Eagles, Chiefs, Chargers and Panthers all needing receivers, and the Cardinals, Eagles, Bengals, Chargers and Saints all looking for cornerbacks, it would make a ton of sense for the 49ers to use some of their draft capital and go and get “their guy” at one of those positions instead of waiting to see who falls in their lap.

I think the Dolphins are a likely trade partner. They are in the range where it wouldn’t be overly costly to trade-up, and we would leap frog most of the major competition for prospects we are likely to target. Plus, the Dolphins could very well be looking to move back. They have multiple holes on the offensive line and deficiencies on both sides of the ball. Moving back to select Joel Bitonio or Xavier Su’a-Filo at pick 30 and adding additional talent in the Third Round would probably be an excellent strategy for them as well.


3) The Trade Down

It’s not likely to happen in my opinion, but if the 49ers can’t find a partner to trade up with and they don’t have a prospect at No. 30 they feel is worth the pick, they could look to trade down and pick up extra picks to have even more flexibility in the middle rounds, or add picks in the 2015 draft.

The Texans, Jaguars, Raiders, Vikings, etc. could be looking to move back up into Round 1 to take a quarterback like Teddy Bridgewater or Jimmy Garoppolo or A.J. McCarron.

Scenario A: The 49ers give up No. 30 for the Raiders’ No. 36 & a 2015 Third Round pick [approx. 100 pts.].
The 49ers select Jordan Matthews.
OR
The 49ers select Jason Verrett.
(traditional value chart: 49ers total = 620, Raiders totals = 640)

Scenario B: The 49ers give up No. 30 for the Vikings’ No. 40 & 96 [from Seahawks].
The 49ers select Davante Adams
OR
The 49ers select Keith McGill.
(traditional value chart: 49ers total = 620, Vikings totals = 616)


There You Have It

A little exercise in draft day trades. We are all smarter now.


Sunday, April 27, 2014

THE Mock Draft: Round 1 (Picks 1 - 16)

A Three Round Mock to End All Mocks!
Round 3

I'm doing my mock well early this year because it's already an exercise in futility and it's not as fun when info gets leaked like two days before the start of the draft and you pretty much know who is drafting who in the top few picks. I did this with no trades, so it will be blown up within the first three selections. It's a futile exercise, but it is a good indication of what teams need and how they may approach the draft, as well as where players are expected to be picked. And it's fun. Enjoy.


from nfl.si.com
1. Houston Texans
Jadaveon Clowney – DE, South Carolina (Big Board #1)
The best player on the board will pair with J.J. Watt and Whitney Mercilus to create the most ferocious pass rush in the NFL. Watch out Andrew Luck.




from buffalo.com
2. St. Louis Rams (via Washington)
Khalil Mack – OLB, Buffalo (Big Board #3)
The Rams will want to trade this pick, but I don’t know that with Clowney off the board any of the QB needy teams will be so emphatic about one they feel the need to give up other picks in a loaded draft class. If they’re stuck with it I think they take Mack, who will be a big upgrade at strongside linebacker and pair with Robert Quinn and Chris Long to create the league’s second most ferocious pass rush.



from businessinsider.com
3. Jacksonville Jaguars
Johnny Manziel – QB, Texas A&M (Big Board #22)
I don’t think Manziel is the top QB prospect in the draft, but I think he’s a great fit for Jacksonville. He’d instantly be the top playmaker on an offense that needs someone to light a fire under it. I think he and Gus Bradley would mesh perfectly. I’d like to see this happen.




from tddaily.com
4. Cleveland Browns
Sammy Watkins – WR, Clemson (Big Board #2)
The top player on the board would give the Browns an exciting and explosive trio of offensive playmakers with Josh Gordon and Cameron Jordan. Wait…did I just use “exciting and explosive” to describe the Cleveland Browns offense? That’s why this pick has to happen.



from cbssports.com
5. Oakland Raiders
Greg Robinson – OT, Auburn (Big Board #4)
The best player on the board fills the void created by Jared Veldheer’s departure. Instant starter that will help keep whoever starts at QB for the Raiders clean and open up holes for McFadden and MJD.


from cbssports.com
6. Atlanta Falcons
Jake Matthews – OT, Texas A&M (Big Board #6)
Anthony Barr is a possibility here, but I think the Falcons opt to protect their franchise QB and find a pass rusher later. Matthews is a Day 1 starter and instant upgrade at either tackle spot.



from cbssports.com
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Aaron Donald – DT, Pittsburgh (Big Board #20)
The first real surprise pick of my mock, I think Lovie Smith opts to upgrade the interior of his defensive line with a player that fits his scheme perfectly. Donald will give Lovie the interior rush he enjoyed from Henry Melton when he coached the Bears. In a deep WR class I think the Bucs opt to find a No. 2 receiver across from V-Jax later.

from rumorsandrants.com
8. Minnesota Vikings
Blake Bortles – QB, Central Florida (Big Board #11)
The Vikes stay patient and land the draft’s most intriguing QB prospect. Bortles goes to a perfect situation being tutored under Norv Turner and to an offense that already has established weapons in A.P., Greg Jennings, Kyle Rudolph and Cordarrelle Patterson, as well as a franchise left tackle in Matt Kalil.


from draftbrowns.com
9. Buffalo Bills
Mike Evans – WR, Texas A&M (Big Board #21)
Evans will give E.J. Manuel another big receiver across from Stevie Johnson and a big body on the outside to block for C.J. Spiller.





from raiderstribune.com
10. Detroit Lions
Anthony Barr – OLB, UCLA (Big Board #5)
Anthony Barr will improve the Lions pass rush immediately and help them in the battle against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers.





from steelcityblitz.com
11. Tennessee Titans
Justin Gilbert – CB, Oklahoma St. (Big Board #8)
Gilbert replaces the departed Alterraun Verner and gets the benefit of playing for Ray Horton who coached up the last elite athlete at the CB position, Patrick Peterson.








from michigandaily.com
12. New York Giants
Taylor Lewan – OT, Michigan (Big Board #9)
Eli Manning sucks and it showed up even more than usual with shoddy offensive line play. Jerry Reese can’t divorce himself from Eli, so he’s forced to upgrade the talent around him. Lewan will start immediately at left tackle and upgrade the entire offensive line unit for the G-Men.



from tuscaloosenews.com
13. St. Louis Rams
HaHa Clinton-Dix – S, Alabama (Big Board #17)
The Rams starting safeties last year were T.J. McDonald and Rodney McLeod. McDonald was bad and McLeod was horrendous. Clinton-Dix is an instant upgrade at the position and gives the Rams secondary another playmaker to pair with Janoris Jenkins.



from dallascowboysdishingthereal.wordpress.com
14. Chicago Bears
Timmy Jernigan – DT, Florida St. (Big Board #16)
Jernigan hasn’t gotten a lot of love during draft season but he’s a big interior lineman that has a ton of great game tape. He’ll be a huge upgrade to the Bears front seven which was uncharacteristically horrible last season.



from michigandaily.com
15. Pittsburgh Steelers
Darqueze Dennard – CB, Michigan St. (Big Board #12)
Dennard fits the Steelers M.O. perfectly. He’s tough, hardworking and physical. He’s also a solid scheme fit at a position of need.





from sportstalkflorida.com
16. Dallas Cowboys
Kony Ealy – DE, Missouri (Big Board #13)
The Cowboys just resigned Anthony Spencer, but they still need to upgrade the pass rush and the defensive line in general. Ealy has the talent to replace some of the production they’ll lose from releasing DeMarcus Ware.






THE Mock Draft: Round 1 (Picks 17-32)

A Three Round Mock to End All Mocks!
Round 3

I'm doing my mock well early this year because it's already an exercise in futility and it's not as fun when info gets leaked like two days before the start of the draft and you pretty much know who is drafting who in the top few picks. I did this with no trades, so it will be blown up within the first three selections. It's a futile exercise, but it is a good indication of what teams need and how they may approach the draft, as well as where players are expected to be picked. And it's fun. Enjoy.



from sportsweekly.qwriting.qc.cuny.edu
17. Baltimore Ravens
Calvin Pryor – S, Louisville (Big Board #18)
They took Matt Elam in the first round last year, but the Ravens lost James Ihedigbo in free agency and need another safety. Pryor and Elam will pair well together as a couple of explosive and aggressive safeties roaming the back end.




from fansided.com
18. New York Jets
Eric Ebron – TE, North Carolina (Big Board #15)
I don’t know that Ebron lasts this long on draft day, but if he does he won’t last longer than this. He’ll give the Jets a reliable set of hands and explosive playmaker in the intermediate part of the field. He will be especially valuable as a security blanket if Geno Smith wins the starting job.


from rantsports.com
19. Miami Dolphins
Zack Martin – OT/OG, Notre Dame (Big Board #43)
I’ve seen this pick mocked so many times on other sites that I honestly don’t know if I even have the option to differ. This is the range Martin is expected to go in the draft and it does make a lot of sense for the Dolphins. He can play anywhere on the line, where they have multiple holes, and he’s a high character guy which they will value especially after the Incognito-Martin fiasco.

from theb1gtime.com
20. Arizona Cardinals
Bradley Roby – CB, Ohio St. (Big Board #33)
Roby will compete to be the starting cornerback across from Patrick Peterson. If he reaches his potential the Cardinals could surpass both the Seahawks and 49ers for the league’s best overall defense.





from espn.go.com
21. Green Bay Packers
C.J. Mosley – ILB, Alabama (Big Board #7)
The Packers get a steal at a position of need. Mosley will be an impact starter from Day 1 and help control the middle of the field for the Packers defense.





from secondroundstats.com
22. Philadelphia Eagles
Kyle Fuller – CB, Virginia Tech (Big Board #25)
The Eagles secondary gets a boost from a smart, steady cover corner.






from joe.ie
 23. Kansas City Chiefs
Odell Beckham Jr – WR, LSU (Big Board #30)
This was a tough choice between Beckham and Cooks. Cooks fits Andy Reid’s screen-based offense perfectly, but I think they opt for the bigger Beckham who has more utility as an outside vertical threat.




from ncaa.com
24. Cincinnati Bengals
Ryan Shazier – OLB, Ohio St. (Big Board #29)
Marvin Lewis gets a ridiculously speedy and athletic outside linebacker to pair with the thumping Vontaze Burfict. Shazier will bring speed off the edge as a blitzer and use his instincts and athleticism when dropping back in coverage. The Bengals also keep an in-state star in Ohio.

from news.yahoo.com
25. San Diego Chargers
Kelvin Benjamin – WR, Florida St. (Big Board #46)
Another surprise pick, Benjamin has the upside to be the big vertical target Phillip Rivers has missed sense Vincent Jackson left for the Bucs in free agency. He is a perfect complement to the steady and crafty Keenan Allen, and might even take over some of the roles Antonio Gates has held as his career winds down.


from usatoday.com
26. Cleveland Browns (via Indianapolis)
Derek Carr – QB, Fresno St. (Big Board #31)
In this scenario there isn’t an early run on quarterbacks and the Browns can sit back and land their man. I doubt it is so easy on draft day. If it happens though, Carr has the arm talent to take advantage of all the new weapons in Cleveland. Like Bortles, he’d be going into a pretty peachy situation in terms of a supporting cast.


from ninerfans.com
27. New Orleans Saints
Demarcus Lawrence – DE/OLB, Boise St. (Big Board #35)
Rex Ryan gets a versatile pass rusher to take advantage of in his hybrid defense. Lawrence can stand up and play OLB in a 3-4 or put his hand in the dirt as a 4-3 end. Ryan can keep it exotic like he did with another pass rushing DeMarcus back in Dallas.


from boltbeat.com
28. Carolina Panthers
Brandin Cooks – WR, Oregon St. (Big Board #23)
The Panthers desperately need receivers and Cooks makes a ton of sense. I’ve compared him to Steve Smith, and he’d go to Carolina to try to duplicate the success #89 had there for so long.




from cbssports.com
 29. New England Patriots
Louis Nix III – DT, Notre Dame (Big Board #28)
Bill Belichick drafts Vince Wilfork’s eventual successor. Nix is a big defensive tackle capable of playing all over the line in a 3-4.





from sportsillustrated.com
30. San Francisco 49ers
Marqise Lee – WR, USC (Big Board #14)
This is probably wishful thinking on my part, but Lee’s stock definitely seems to have dropped throughout the draft process. It’s certainly likely he’ll be available after pick No. 20 and a fall this far down the board definitely isn’t out of the question. He’d give the 49ers the speed receiver they lack as well as a dangerous option in the return game. He’d be perfect in the slot with Crabtree and Boldin on the outside, but he has the size to play all three receiver positions, which is important on a team that rarely goes to three receiver sets.

from tcu360.com
31. Denver Broncos
Jason Verrett – CB, TCU (Big Board #19)
The Broncos sit back and take the top player available. Verrett fits their defense and he’d help make up for the loss of Champ Bailey. His ballhawking skills will be especially valuable on a team with Peyton Manning, who will be thankful for every extra possession.


from nfl.com
32. Seattle Seahawks
Joel Bitonio – OT/OG, Nevada (Big Board #40)
The Seahawks offensive line is their weakest position group. Bitonio can play either guard position as well as right tackle. He’d give the Seahawks options along the offensive line and is exactly the sort of player offensive line coach Tom Cable would drool over; nasty and tough as nails. 




THE Mock Draft: Round 2

A Three Round Mock to End All Mocks!
Round 3

I'm doing my mock well early this year because it's already an exercise in futility and it's not as fun when info gets leaked like two days before the start of the draft and you pretty much know who is drafting who in the top few picks. I did this with no trades, so it will be blown up within the first three selections. It's a futile exercise, but it is a good indication of what teams need and how they may approach the draft, as well as where players are expected to be picked. And it's fun. Enjoy.

33. Houston Texans
Teddy Bridgewater – QB, Louisville (Big Board #10)
Maybe I’m secretly a Texans fan, because I managed to slot them my top pass rusher and top quarterback. Bridgewater is the most developed of all the QBs in this draft and he’d give the Texans an immediate chance to compete in the AFC, especially given the talent on the defensive side of the ball.
                                                                
34. Washington Redskins
Morgan Moses – OT, Virginia (Big Board #56)
Moses could sneak into the first round. He’s an athletic tackle capable of manning either side. Rumor has it that the Redskins are interested in him, and it makes sense given that they need to do everything they can to keep RGIII upright.

35. Cleveland Browns
Tre Mason – RB, Auburn (Big Board #27)
Ben Tate is injury prone, and the Browns don’t really have much talent behind him. Mason is capable of starting should Tate go down with an injury, but he is also an ideal complement to the bigger, more powerful Tate.

36. Oakland Raiders
Ra’Shede Hageman – DT, Minnesota (Big Board #36)
The Raiders need talent everywhere, but especially in the trenches, where games are won and lost. Hageman is athletic enough to make an immediate impact, versatile enough to man any spot along of the defensive line, and has the potential to be a star down the road.

37. Atlanta Falcons
Dee Ford – DE/OLB, Auburn (Big Board #41)
The Falcons need to upgrade their pass rush. Ford would fit well in the hybrid defense Mike Nolan runs in Atlanta.

38. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jordan Matthews – WR, Vanderbilt (Big Board #38)
The Bucs nab a developed and capable No. 2 receiver. He’s got a big frame and good hands, something Josh McCown used to great effect in Chicago.

39. Jacksonville Jaguars
Austin Seferian-Jenkins – TE, Washington (Big Board #48)
The Jaguars grab a weapon for Johnny Football. Seferian-Jenkins will be a valuable asset in the red zone and will pair with Marcedes Lewis to give the developing Manziel two big targets in the middle of field. Seferian-Jenkins might mimic some of what Manziel had in Mike Evans, a big, athletic target to throw 50-50 balls to when the play breaks down.

40. Minnesota Vikings
Xavier Su’a-Filo – OG, UCLA (Big Board #26)
The Vikes have bigger needs than guard, but there aren’t any linebackers available worthy of this pick, so they’ll swoop up a first round talent who can help keep Bortles upright and open up running lanes for Adrian Peterson.

41. Buffalo Bills
Jace Amaro – TE, Texas Tech (Big Board #55)
The Bills continue to add weapons around E.J. Manuel, securing a big body and a reliable pair of hands to work the intermediate middle of the field with.

42. Tennessee Titans
Carlos Hyde – RB, Ohio St. (Big Board #34)
The Titans let go of Chris Johnson, but replace him with a big, bruising back capable of breaking off long gains. Between Hyde, Shonne Greene and Dexter McCluster the Titans would have a dangerous three-headed rushing attack.

43. New York Giants
Scott Crichton – DE, Oregon St. (Big Board #32)
Jerry Reese made a career of selecting defensive lineman early and often. Crichton is the top available player at the position and will play a part in replacing the departed Justin Tuck.

44. St. Louis Rams
Cyrus Kouandjio – OT, Alabama (Big Board #60)
This pick actually makes as little sense as it does a lot of sense (much like this sentence). The Rams need talent and depth at offensive tackle, largely because Jake Long is a huge injury risk. So it only makes sense to pick Kouandjio who is…also an injury risk? Still, he’s got first round talent and this is probably the range he will be picked in.

45. Detroit Lions
Davante Adams – WR, Fresno St. (Big Board #42)
Even with the signing of Golden Tate the Lions have been very active scouting wide receivers. They are definitely looking to add another talented pass catcher across from Calvin Johnson. Adams is the top player at the position at this juncture, and actually pairs perfectly with Megatron and Tate, providing a strong handed possession receiver that can move the chains and take advantage of single coverage on the outside.

46. Pittsburgh Steelers
Stephon Tuitt – DE/DT, Notre Dame (Big Board #37)
The Steelers get a talented 5-technique to get younger along the defensive front and help replace the departed Ziggy Hood.

47. Dallas Cowboys
Deone Bucannon – S, Washington St. (Big Board #54)
Bucannon will give the Cowboys a rangy defender on the back end and a fiery competitor who will help upgrade the defense’s overall physicality. Bucannon can help change the culture and identity of a weak Cowboys defense.

48. Baltimore Ravens
Jarvis Landry – WR, LSU (Big Board #62)
This almost makes too much sense to happen. Joe Flacco and the Ravens’ offense struggled mightily without Anquan Boldin. Landry has been compared to Boldin for good reason, and he’d give Flacco a dependable, chain moving target and pair perfectly with Torrey Smith.

49. New York Jets
Gabe Jackson – OG, Mississippi St. (Big Board #45)
The Jets take a huge, physical run blocker to help open up lanes for the Chrisses. This pick fits in with what Rex Ryan believes in: physical power football.

50. Miami Dolphins
David Yankey – OG, Stanford (Big Board #44)
The Dolphins select another versatile, high character offensive lineman. They need a lot of help along the offensive line. Double dipping makes a ton of sense.

51. Chicago Bears
Marcus Roberson – CB, Florida (Big Board #52)
The Bears need to get younger at cornerback. Roberson is developed enough to contribute early on and talented enough to start for years to come.

52. Arizona Cardinals
Troy Niklas – TE, Notre Dame (Big Board #68)
The Cardinals don’t have much going for them at tight end. Rob Housler is serviceable, but not good enough to exclude Arizona from going tight end in the early rounds. Carson Palmer has utilized the tight end a lot throughout his career (remember when he made Brandon Meyers relevant?). Niklas would give him a talented option at the position.

53. Green Bay Packers
Weston Richburg – C, Colorado St. (Big Board #51)
The Packers let Evan Dietrich-Smith get away in free agency, which didn’t particularly please Aaron Rodgers. Ted Thompson needs to make the best quarterback in football happy again, and it could start with drafting the top center in this class. Richburg should start right away without any issue.

54. Philadelphia Eagles
Cody Latimer – WR, Indiana (Big Board #70)
For all the talk of the Eagles drafting a speed receiver to replace DeSean Jackson, it’s more likely they’ll look to draft a big, athletic receiver like Latimer. Kelly’s offenses at Oregon generally utilized bigger bodies on the outside, and Latimer would give Kelly two of those along with Riley Cooper. They’ll have plenty of speed left over with McCoy, Maclin and Sproles.

55. Cincinnati Bengals
Keith McGill – CB, Utah (Big Board #59)
The Bengals need cornerbacks. Leon Hall got injured again. Dre Kirkpatrick is one more ineffective season away from full-on bust status. Pacman Jones and Terrence Newman are both up there in age. McGill would give Cincinnati a talented body on the outside who can compete for a starting role.

56. San Francisco 49ers (via Kansas City)
Lamarcus Joyner – DB, Florida St. (Big Board #24)
I don’t think Baalke will draft Joyner in the first round due to his size, but if he last until this pick (which is more likely than my overall ranking would suggest) I think he will pull the trigger. Joyner would give the 49ers the nickelback they currently lack and could potentially play some safety across from Eric Reid in the future. He’s too talented to fall out of the second round, and he’d give the 49ers another high character individual on the defensive side of the ball, something they sorely need considering the shit Aldon and Cully have pulled this offseason.

57. San Diego Chargers
Cameron Fleming – OT, Stanford (Big Board #53)
I have Fleming rated higher than most draftniks, but I truly believe he is one of the top tackles in this class. He is versatile enough to play either guard or tackle position, which any team—especially the Chargers who could use upgrades at multiple spots—will value.

58. New Orleans Saints
Donte Moncrief – WR, Ole Miss (Big Board #77)
The Saints lost Lance Moore in free agency and while the cupboard certainly isn’t bare at receiver it is more talent deficient than at any time I can remember during the Drew Brees era. Moncrief would be a good third receiver to pair with Marques Colston and Kenny Stills, and could develop into an effective starter across from the smaller, speedier Stills in the future.

59. Indianapolis Colts
Antonio Richardson – OT, Tennessee (Big Board #93)
This is just the kind of pick the Colts would make, a fairly big reach for a player at a position of need. The Colts need to upgrade Luck’s protection, and Richardson can man either right tackle across from Anthony Castonzo or move inside and play guard.

60. Carolina Panthers
Allen Robinson – WR, Penn St. (Big Board #78)
In 2011 the Panthers were one of the worst run defenses in the entire league. In the 2012 draft they double dipped at DT in the first two rounds with Star Lotulelei and Kawann Short, immediately turning the front seven into one of the best in football. They are so talent deficient at receiver they could opt for a similar strategy in this draft, and they can only hope it turns out as well as last year. Allen Robinson would give the Panthers a big bodied outside receiver to pair with their earlier pick, Brandin Cooks.

61. San Francisco 49ers
Marcus Smith – DE/OLB, Louisville (Big Board #58)
Aldon Smith is going to miss some games this year, and he might not be around San Francisco much longer. The possibility is one the 49ers need to prepare for. Marcus Smith is a very talented outside rusher that fits our scheme perfectly. You can never have enough pass rushers.

62. New England Patriots
Jimmy Ward – S, Northern Illinois (Big Board #80)
I feel like the Patriots draft a small-school safety in every single draft. They shocked the world by selecting Tavon Wilson in Round 2 a couple years ago. I think this pick would be met with much less head scratching though.

63. Denver Broncos
Kareem Martin – DE, North Carolina (Big Board #81)
The Broncos are going to be ahead in a lot of games and they are going to be able to send a lot rushers at the quarterback. It would make a lot of sense to add a natural 4-3 end to their arsenal, especially with the departure of Shaun Phillips to the Titans and the impending age-based decline of Demarcus Ware. Martin can contribute as a situational rusher right away and develop into a starter down the road. He has the size to line up inside in a four man front which gives him added value as a pass rusher.

64. Seattle Seahawks
Martavis Bryant – WR, Clemson (Big Board #86)
Bryant is a project receiver, but he has the potential to really make an impact at the next level. The Seahawks just resigned Sidney Rice, but it was to a short term deal and he is incredibly injury prone, so they will probably look to add a lengthy outside receiver to eventually replace him. Bryant fits the bill.



THE Mock Draft: Round 3

A Three Round Mock to End All Mocks!
Round 2

I'm doing my mock well early this year because it's already an exercise in futility and it's not as fun when info gets leaked like two days before the start of the draft and you pretty much know who is drafting who in the top few picks. I did this with no trades, so it will be blown up within the first three selections. It's a futile exercise, but it is a good indication of what teams need and how they may approach the draft, as well as where players are expected to be picked. And it's fun. Enjoy.

65.  Houston Texans
Bishop Sankey – RB, Washington (Big Board #57)
The Texans had to watch Ben Tate go, so they need a serviceable backup for the injury prone Arian Foster. Sankey is the best player available at the position and has the capability to start.
                                           
66. Washington Redskins
Jaylen Watkins – CB, Florida (Big Board #39)
The Redskins entire secondary is questionable. Jaylen Watkins makes perfect sense as a guy that can play pretty much any position on the back end; be it safety, outside corner or nickelback. That versatility will make him especially appealing to a team with so many holes at defensive back.

67. Oakland Raiders
Jimmy Garoppolo – QB, Eastern Illinois (Big Board #49)
Jimmy Garoppolo will be selected (probably long) before No. 67. This is the problem with doing mocks without trades. But whatever. In this scenario he makes perfect sense for the Raiders, who would be ecstatic to nab a guy who can compete to start at QB right away this late in the draft.

68. Atlanta Falcons
Jeremy Hill – RB, LSU (Big Board #88)
Steven Jackson is aging and injury prone. Jeremy Hill offers similar size and running style, and his consistency as a power back will be an appealing complement to Jacquizz Rodgers.

69. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Yawin Smallwood – ILB, Connecticut (Big Board #67)
The Tampa-2 Lovie Smith will run in Tampa (fitting, eh?) requires disciplined play from talented linebackers. Smallwood can man all three of the linebacker positions in the system, giving Lovie competition and options at crucial positions for his scheme.

70. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jeremiah Attaochu – OLB, Georgia Tech (Big Board #79)
Gus Bradley gets a raw athlete with the traits necessary to man the “Leo” position in his defense. Attaochu fits the pass rushing linebacker position perfectly, and Bradley is the ideal mentor to help him make the most of his talents.

71. Cleveland Browns
Phillip Gaines – CB, Rice (Big Board #66)
The Browns could look for a starting caliber corner to start across from the stellar Joe Haden. Gaines needs refinement, but he has an interesting blend of size, speed and fluidity. He could develop into a quality pairing with Haden.

72. Minnesota Vikings
Kyle Van Noy – OLB, BYU (Big Board #83)
Van Noy was once considered a potential first round prospect, but didn’t really cement himself amongst this year’s top prospects. Still, he’d be a great fit as a strongside linebacker in Mike Zimmer’s scheme. He’s got good pass rush ability and is one of the draft’s most instinctual blitzers from the linebacker position, which Zimmer would put to good use.

73. Buffalo Bills
Trent Murphy – OLB/DE, Stanford (Big Board #72)
Murphy would pair well with Kiko Alonso in the Bills hybrid defense. He also has some utility as a pass rusher with his hand in the dirt, so he could offer another rush option along with Mario Williams and Jerry Hughes.

74. New York Giants
Marcus Martin – C/G, USC (Big Board #76)
David Baas has missed a lot of games the last few seasons, and the Giants just need youth and talent all across the offensive line in general. Martin can play any of the interior line positions, making him a good fit for a team that could try out different line combinations to keep the immobile Eli Manning in a clean pocket.

75. St. Louis Rams
Stanley Jean-Baptiste – CB, Nebraska (Big Board #85)
The Rams lost Cortland Finnegan and don’t have a lot of depth or talent at cornerback apart from Janoris Jenkins. Baptiste could intrigue the Rams because he also has the size to play safety, and even though they drafted Clinton-Dix in this scenario, they may look to make changes at both safety positions. Jean-Baptiste also fits the trend of getting bigger on the outside, potentially making him a good pairing across from the smaller Jenkins.

76. Detroit Lions
Travis Swanson – C, Arkansas (Big Board #64)
The Lions resigned Dominic Raiola, but he can’t play forever, so they’ll have to draft his eventual replacement at some point. This is a good value pick at this point in the draft.

77. San Francisco 49ers (via Tennessee)
Bashaud Breeland – CB, Clemson (Big Board #71)
I know Baalke and the 49ers' scouting department have taken a close look at Breeland from multiple reports. He is a long, fluid athlete that projects well to outside cornerback in our scheme.

78. Dallas Cowboys
Christian Jones – ILB, Florida St. (Big Board #75)
The Cowboys need physicality and leadership on the defensive side of the ball. Sean Lee is effectively always injured, so Jones offers depth at middle linebacker, while also offering the versatility to play the weakside as well.

79. Baltimore Ravens
Pierre Desir – CB, Lindenwood (Big Board #47)
Ozzie Newsome scoops up a highly talented outside cornerback for depth and to develop as a future starter. Typical Ozzie.

80. New York Jets
Paul Richardson – WR, Colorado (Big Board #61)
The Jets need to add speed at receiver, and they looked to do so in their pursuit of DeSean Jackson during his brief stint as a free agent. In this draft they passed on Cooks and Beckham to take the higher rated Ebron in the first, but land a pure speed element in Richardson here.

81. Miami Dolphins
Ego Ferguson – DT, LSU (Big Board NR)
The Dolphins lost Paul Soliai in free agency, and Randy Starks is getting up there in age. Ego Ferguson gives them defensive line depth and a big body to develop on the interior.

82. Chicago Bears
Ahmad Dixon – S, Baylor (Big Board #90)
The Bears pretty much need to retool the entire defense at this point, either having a clear lack of talent or aging players at each position. Dixon is an aggressive, athletic safety capable of developing into a quality starter.

83. Cleveland Browns (via Pittsburgh)
Shayne Skov – ILB, Stanford (Big Board #91)
The Browns have Karlos Dansby locked in as one starter at ILB in their 3-4 scheme, but his time as a quality starter is nearing an end. Skov can compete with Craig Robertson to start alongside Dansby, or offer quality depth and the potential to replace Dansby in the future.

84. Arizona Cardinals
Zach Mettenberger – QB, LSU (Big Board NR)
Mettenberger is a good fit for Bruce Arians' offense, and he would be given at least a year to develop and recover from his ACL tear behind Carson Palmer.

85. Green Bay Packers
Carl Bradford – ILB/OLB, Arizona State (Big Board NR)
Bradford is a good athlete and a versatile linebacker that can play either inside or outside in either a 4-3 or a 3-4. That versatility will appeal to the Packers, who have lost outside linebackers Clay Matthews and Nick Perry for some games due to injury the past couple seasons, and who may be looking to replace A.J. Hawk eventually.

86. Philadelphia Eagles
Ed Reynolds – S, Stanford (Big Board #73)
The Eagles don’t have much talent or depth at safety. Nate Allen is serviceable, but the Eagles need to draft another legitimate option to compete for the other safety spot. Reynolds is a disciplined player with the ability to contribute right away. It doesn’t hurt Chip Kelly is familiar with the Stanford product from his Oregon days.

87. Kansas City Chiefs
JuWuan James – OT, Tennesse (Big Board NR)
With Branden Albert gone to the Dolphins, Eric Fisher will be moving over to Alex Smith’s blindside this season. The Chiefs need to get a replacement right tackle, and James is the kind of humongous, athletic tackle Andy Reid values. I knocked him a bit in my evaluations because he projects only to the right side, but for the Chiefs' purposes that doesn’t matter. He could probably start from Day 1.

88. Cincinnati Bengals
Dominique Easley – DT, Florida (Big Board #65)
The Bengals have the type of roster that allows the front office to draft injured “redshirt” players. When healthy, Dominique Easley was a no-brainer first round pick and one of the top defensive linemen in the country. A healthy interior rush made up of Geno Atkins and Dominique Easley is downright scary—so scary that the Bengals can make the gamble on Easley this early on.

89. San Diego Chargers
Jackson Jeffcoat – DE/OLB, Texas (Big Board NR)
Jeffcoat is an undersized defensive end that doesn’t have the necessary strength to anchor against the run in a four man front, or the necessary athleticism to effectively transition to a linebacker in a three man front. He is, however, a lengthy prospect with a lot of speed and natural pass rush ability. He may never make the transition into a full time starter, but he offers a lot of utility as a situational pass rusher. In the late third that’s enough to warrant a selection, especially for a team that lacks a lot of talent at pass rusher and has to play Peyton Manning two or three times a year.

90. Indianapolis Colts
Terrence Brooks – S, Florida St. (Big Board #63)
The Colts lost Antoine Bethea and just don’t really have much of anything at safety right now. Brooks is the top player available at his position at this point, and offers a lot of versatility on the back end. He’d have the opportunity to compete for a starting job right away.

91. New Orleans Saints
Lache Seastrunk – RB, Baylor (Big Board NR)
The Saints traded Darren Sproles and are now severely lacking pure speed and playmaking ability out of the backfield. Seastrunk isn’t a very developed pass catcher yet, but he projects as the draft’s top “scatback” who could replace some of what Darren Sproles brought to the table.

92. Carolina Panthers
Jack Mewhort – OT, Ohio St. (Big Board NR)
Jordan Gross retired and Byron Bell simply isn’t very good at right tackle. The Panthers need an infusion of talent at the position and Mewhort is the highest rated player left at the position outside of James Hurst, who is coming off a broken leg and will likely slide down the board due to the severity of the injury.

93. New England Patriots
Cyril Richardson – OG, Baylor (Big Board #69)
Logan Mankins is entrenched as the left guard for the Patriots, but Richardson could compete with Dan Connoly for the starting RG spot. At worst he’s an athletic prospect to develop and provide depth along the interior of the line. He’s also got the added value of being long enough to play some right tackle.

94. San Francisco 49ers
Craig Loston – S, LSU (Big Board NR)
Eric Reid’s former starting-mate at safety during his college days, Loston would be a solid developmental safety behind Bethea. The familiarity with Reid is a plus that might make Baalke overlook Loston’s short arms (30 ¾ inches). He’s got ideal size for the position and packs a punch as a hitter. Plays well in the box and has some range in coverage. Would pair well (again) with Eric Reid down the road.

95. Denver Broncos
Chris Borland – ILB, Wisconsin (Big Board #87)
Borland is a hard hitting, run stuffing two-down linebacker, which will cause him to be drafted later than some of the other top linebackers. The fact that he probably has to come off the field isn’t really much of a concern to the Broncos, who have a stable of pass rushers waiting to take his place and get after the quarterback on passing downs, and another linebacker in Danny Trevathan who is adept at manning the linebacker position in nickel sets. Borland will be an asset against the run which will help get the ball back in Peyton’s hands quicker.

96. Minnesota Vikings (via Seattle)
Tyler Gaffney – RB, Stanford (Big Board #84)
I’m pretty sure the top backup to Adrian Peterson is Matt Asiata, which—despite his fantasy heroics in one game last year—isn’t the most inspiring or wise thing. The Vikes lost a powerful Stanford back in Toby Gerhart and could replace him with another powerful Stanford back in Gaffney. Gaffney has the added value of being more developed than the average back coming out of college in pass protection, thanks to the pro style system Stanford runs.

97. Pittsburgh Steelers (compensatory)
C.J. Fiedorowicz – TE, Iowa (Big Board #89)
Heath Miller is getting old and Fiedorowicz projects as a perfect replacement for the tough-as-nails Miller, both as a hard-nosed blocker and a reliable, if unathletic, pass catcher.

98. Green Bay Packers (compensatory)
Tre Boston – S, North Carolina (Big Board NR)
Boston is an aggressive safety who plays with some recklessness but who has some natural playmaking ability. He’d give the Packers an attitude on the back end they’ve been lacking since Nick Collins got injured.

99. Baltimore Ravens (compensatory)
Terrence West – RB, Towson (Big Board NR)
Ray Rice might get suspended over the whole abusing his fiancĂ©e thing. And either way, both he and Bernard Pierce weren’t very effective running the ball last season. The Ravens could look to add this talented small-school prospect to reignite the running game.

100. San Francisco 49ers (compensatory)
David Fales – QB, San Jose St. (Big Board #50)
A) I liked Fales a lot before Jim Harbaugh called him a “top-5 quarterback in this draft.” B) Jim Harbaugh called him a “top-5 quarterback in this draft.” We could use some talent to develop behind Kaepernick as his long term backup, and in the unlikely event he either raped a girl or isn’t resigned.