Monday, November 25, 2013

NFL Week 12 Retrospective: Another "Great" Brady-Manning Game, the Wild AFC Wild Card Chase, and a Long Look Forward to the NFL Draft + More

                                                                                                          from nfl.si.com

It’s probably not a good sign for my career in sports writing to begin with the most overanalyzed matchup of the last decade, but I feel like I can’t possibly write a week 12 retrospective column without acknowledging the fact that Tom Brady and Peyton Manning just played an overtime game on Sunday Night Football. I hate Tom Brady. I like Manning, but I constantly feel as if I have to let people know that he really isn’t some sort of quarterback messiah sent from the heavens to let us mortals bask in his glory. The guy is a master at the line of scrimmage, but come on. We already have a quarterback messiah and he’s currently in Green Bay packing fresh snow straight off the sidewalk onto his collarbone. He’s even got a fantastic stache going. Peyton could not grow that stache.

As for the game itself, my friends and I switched back and forth between it and the Grey Cup (much to one of my friend’s dismay…On another note, former undrafted free agent signee of the San Francisco 49ers Kory Sheets put Saskatchewan on his back do and broke a Grey Cup rushing record in the process). The game itself was something of an enigma to me. It should have been a great game; I mean it was an overtime game between two Hall of Famers at the ends of their careers—perhaps the last time Peyton takes the field at Foxboro. The problem is, with a game with so much supposed drama, I really didn’t feel any actual drama.

Where was the surprise in that game? Could it have been anymore scripted? I’ve seen this game before, it was like déjà vu of a moment I didn’t care to have. When the Broncos went into halftime with a 24-0 lead, my friend turned to me and said, “Patriots are going to come back.” Of course they were; I told him I legitimately wouldn’t be surprised. And I wasn’t. 

There was no oh-my-god moment where I’m sitting at the edge of my seat disbelieving that Tom Brady was leading a wild comeback against Peyton Manning, who—with the wind at his back—kept running the ball as if a 24, then 17, then 10 point lead actually meant something. I feel like this was every game Manning and Brady have ever played all chewed up and regurgitated. Maybe that’s what some people wanted.

Maybe part of my dispassion for the game was the fact that I know I can’t watch ESPN or NFL Network until Thanksgiving because they’ll be rubbing themselves to this game for 45 minutes of every hour for the next three days. I just can’t help but think the best way this game could have ended was with the Patriots completely falling apart in the second half and Peyton running up the score because his dad’s fantasy team really needed a big day from Jacob Tamme, who he picked up off waivers with insider info that Julius Thomas would be inactive, sending Tom Brady into one of his patented tantrums on the sideline while Gronk laughed and thought about racially insensitive things and banging pornstars. That would have been a game worth watching. This tired script of Brady the Great coming back to defend his icy Foxboro kingdom against a noodle-armed Manning who can’t hit Demaryius Thomas twenty yards downfield in the wind is just that, tired. I’m over it.

What I’m not going to be tired of is six insanely flawed, how-can-they-possibly-be-playoff-material teams fighting for the right to make the playoffs in the AFC. The AFC is crazy. The Titans, Steelers, Ravens, Chargers, Jets and Dolphins are all at 5-6. I could make great arguments for each as to why they will get in the playoffs; the Titans have the schedule, the Ravens and Steelers have the pedigree, the Chargers just beat a 9-2 team on the road, the Jets have a great defense and the Dolphins are probably the most all-around talented team of the bunch. I can also make a great argument against each of these teams; they aren’t very good. They’re all under .500 and not a single one looks like it would have a chance against any other playoff team in the AFC, not even the Bengals.

I’d honestly lean towards the Ravens or Steelers because that pedigree does mean something, they have been through this before, but I just don’t see it. I don’t see this version of the Ravens making some sort of thrilling run through the playoffs, not with Ray Rice averaging 2.5 ypc on a good day. The Steelers have the oldest defense I’ve ever seen. They actually look like they’re running in sand sometimes.

It’s just going to be a lot of fun to watch these teams scrap and fight for the right to lose in one game, two if they’re lucky.

The best team in AFC that doesn’t currently hold a playoff seed is cursed. The Cleveland Browns are cursed. Their defense is legitimate, better than any still standing at 5-6, maybe the best in the conference depending on how long Justin Houston and Tamba Hali remain out. They have a solid offensive line, they have a playmaking tight end and they have a budding star in Josh Gordon—a real weapon. They also have an inept GM who traded away Trent Richardson—who admittedly had been bad, and continues to be bad, but I can’t find it in myself to say that T-Rich doesn’t make that team better. Even worse though they just lost Jason Campbell at quarterback, and that is a big loss. Honestly, think about how cursed as a franchise the Browns are, that seeing Jason Campbell leave a game as your quarterback is a huge punch in the gut. It means hearing, as Bill Simmons puts it, “the four most chilling words in football: ‘Here comes Brandon Weeden.’” And that guy was a first-rounder! Last season! Cleveland is cursed; cursed with bad luck and worse management.

As for the injury to Jason Campbell I can only say that it will undoubtedly spawn an entire two to three thousand words in the coming days. A clothesline hit around the helmet that caused a game-changing fumble recovery (for a TD) and left the quarterback in a crumpled mess on the ground. Sound familiar? I will not argue the 49ers should have won that game against the Saints, but it is time to really lay into the NFL for the absolute garbage standards they have for player safety and the preferential and arbitrary treatment they give to those players and teams they care about more.

Another cursed team? The Lions. They are cursed by Jim Schwartz and their own inability to play a consistent brand of football. A team that should be taking a stranglehold on the division while Rodgers is sidelined is instead peering over its shoulder at a team which is massively superior when its star quarterback is on the field, and that day should be coming soon.

But I don’t want to talk about the Lions, I want to talk about the guy they just lost to. Has anyone been watching Mike Glennon? Seriously, like really, really watching him? Where are all the superlatives for this kid? Where’s the hype? He’s played better since stepping in as starting QB of a team that was among the league’s worst than any of the big young guns last season—aside from maybe Andrew Luck. We were all fascinated by the new breed of mobile QBs—Wilson, Kaep and RGIII. I know I was. The amount of TV time and analysis those guys got was mind-blowing. But here’s a tall, lanky, pseudo-ginger who is quietly leading his team to wins on the strength of his arm that no one cares about at all.

And here’s the kicker: I can’t find any caveats to place on his game. There’s no read-option that can be figured out, there’s no special pass rush that contain him, there’s no defensive-coordinators catching up to his style, there’s no gimmicky, single-read offense built around him, there isn’t a strong-running game to lean on or a vaunted defense to fall back to. He’s a rookie and he’s making all the reads, making all the throws, and winning games for his team. The Bucs are winning games because of Mike Glennon, not despite him. (And OK the defense pulled through with a pick-6 and a number of other turnovers against the Lions, and Bobby Rainey ran through a non-existent Falcons defense the previous week, but still, it’s not as if they are hiding Glennon.)

I’m calling it now, and I may look like a fool later on, but Mike Glennon is for real and he’s here to stay. The guy is good.

What does this mean for the game of football? Nothing really. Nothing we didn’t know or expect. The game isn’t evolving around the “mobile quarterback.” At least not any more so than when Fran Tarkenton was playing, or when Randall Cunningham was playing, or Steve Young, or Kordell Stewart, or or or or. They’re fascinating and special, but that’s about the end of it. 

There’s only one kind of QB that succeeds in the NFL: a good one. It doesn’t matter if they’re short or tall, or fast or slow, or anything. QBs have to have it in their DNA, and the only way you can know a good one from a bad one is to watch on Sundays.

Speaking of new-agey, mobile quarterbacks, how ‘bout Cam Newton? Guy has really flipped a switch and figured it out. He’s not elite, but he’s close enough to win the Super Bowl with that defense and that coaching staff. I don’t know what Ron Rivera has been doing, but he went from a coach no one outside of Carolina knew of or cared about to one of the better decision makers in all of football—and his best decision was hiring Mike Shula to replace Rob Chudzinski. Shula got off to a slow start, but if there’s a guy outside of Sean Payton calling better games than Shula right now I want to know about him.

Aren’t the Panther really who the 49ers were supposed to be? The tough-nosed defense flying all over the field, hitting people and forcing turnovers; the chew-up-the-clock offense running the ball and putting it into the hands or their ultra-talented young quarterback for big plays and scramble-magic—it’s the blue print we all envisioned before we thought of the Lombardi trophy being hoisted above Frank Gore’s beautiful, bald, thick-ass head and neck.

I think the 9ers can still get there, and I think that with a healthy receiving corps we can be better than the Panthers. I’ll take Frank, Vernon, Crabs, Boldin and Mario over DeAngelo, Greg Olsen, Steve Smith, Brandon LaFell and Ted Ginn any day. The question is whether or not Kaepernick can emulate the fantastic play of Cam Newton and whether Greg Roman can call a game better than a high school coordinator.

Still, sometimes we as 49er fans have to put things in perspective. It might feel as if we are the worst off among all the preseason Super Bowl contenders, but then there’s Green Bay sliding without Rodgers and the Ravens whose offense has been more poorly coordinated than ours. But there are no teams in the entire NFL who’ve had more disappointing seasons than the Texans and Falcons. That’s obvious.

We all know this. Not only were those two teams popular picks to win their conferences, they were a popular Super Bowl matchup. Some major sports pundits called a Houston and Atlanta Super Bowl less than fourth months ago! I don’t know how they’ve kept their jobs, or got them in the first place. I should have their job. I want it.

The crazy thing of it is, that while I was never very much on the Falcons bandwagon—I did think the Texans were a good team, just not a Super Bowl capable team—I don’t think anyone saw these meltdowns coming. I didn’t. Matt Schaub somehow got David Carr syndrome without the shellshock of being hit more times than a Mayweather punching bag.

The Falcons are a little more obvious to deduce; their defense was terrible last year and continued to be terrible this year and they lost Julio Jones and Roddy White for long stretches of the season. A team I expected to hover around .500 when fully healthy got the injury bug in a bad way.

Still, these are two teams that are objectively better and more talented than say the Jaguars, or the Buccaneers, or even the Jets and the Raiders and the Vikings. Yet they are in play for the No. 1 and No. 2 picks in the NFL Draft! I mean you could easily see a Chief-esque turnaround for these two teams.

Imagine…

The Texans pick first in the draft, selecting Teddy Bridgewater. If Andrew Luck can win 11 games with whatever garbage the Colts had on the offensive line and on defense in 2012, with Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton and a pair of rookie tight ends to throw too, plus a running game led by Vick Ballard, just think of the success Bridgewater could have playing in a quarterback friendly offense with a stout O-Line, Andre Johnson, DeAndre Hopkins, Owen Daniels, Garret Graham and Arian Foster at his disposal—with a defense at his back that has the best defensive player on earth wreaking havoc. That’s a team with double digit wins.

Imagine…

The Falcons have the second pick in the draft, selecting Jadaveon Clowney. He immediately fixes their single biggest issue; a defensive presence, a pass rush. He makes everyone around him better, especially a secondary that has the personnel to be good. Thomas DeCoud and William Moore are a solid safety duo. Asante Samuel isn’t what he once was, but he’s still a ball hawk, and with a real pass rush he can gamble more—turn the ball over more for Matt Ryan. Same goes for two promising rookies in Desmond Trufant and Robert Alford. Julio Jones and Roddy White come back healthy, and with a defense that is even remotely average, instead of horrendous, that team could win double digit games.

The draft is supposed to promote parity, and I think on the whole it works to that end, but we could see in two consecutive years good teams coming out of the draft richer than the bad teams that need help the most.

I’ll be doing a little preview of the 49ers Monday Night game later today, so check in for that.

I also want to let it be known that I don’t care what anyone else does, I don’t care what here or his family says, when I shorten Kaepernick it’s “Kaep” not “Kap.”

Alright, after a long first article/column/rant I’ll leave you with the best thing I saw in the NFL yesterday, a bro “fight”:


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